Curse

Noel Hope · Dec 29, 2008, 06:16 AM // 06:16

863 runs so far.

No miniature polar bear yet ...

daze · Dec 29, 2008, 06:39 AM // 06:39

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rexion

All you had to do was rezone into another district; then you'd have an extra 5 CCS for all those runs.

well

its kinda late for me to learn something new. sheesh

Feathermoore Rep · Dec 29, 2008, 07:44 AM // 07:44

Quote:

Originally Posted by Noel Hope

863 runs so far.

No miniature polar bear yet ...

dear god i hope you have been using multiple accounts.

I'm only at ~75 runs on one account. I have 4 alt accts, but none with eotn. That was a GG right there. So i just farm singed skulls during the afk time.

Still wish this wasn't so mindnumblingly boring...

snodaard · Dec 29, 2008, 11:44 AM // 11:44

do you need Eotn to farm SoS then? :|

ele pl · Dec 29, 2008, 12:04 PM // 12:04

^Yes, you need, the qeust is in Eotn dungeon.

Namiren · Dec 29, 2008, 01:43 PM // 13:43

Aprox 100runs, with 1 acc. now i have 2 stack and i shooted about 3stack before. NO BEARS (WHY NOT????)

Aussie Boy · Dec 29, 2008, 02:01 PM // 14:01

It's too late now but next year Anet should do a really really hard quest across all campaigns ( well maybe not factions) to get one sort of like the Moa chick quest.
That was fun to do and beats all this grind grind grind.

Painbringer · Dec 29, 2008, 04:18 PM // 16:18

I lost my bear when after I got the Winterday chest to spawn. Before going to the chest I ran arround to pick up candy canes and for somereason nothing would work to pick them up. Then I got the "You have lost your connection would you like to reconnect". After clicking YES it followed with a .... long pause and then the charcter screen. Well the bear was in that chest I am for sure.

tmakinen · Dec 29, 2008, 04:24 PM // 16:24

For a positive contribution, if you insist on using the run-length data, I would like to point out that the distribution is of the form (1 - p)^n and that you should use the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test to gauge the merit of a given p. Also as mentioned before, because lim_{n -> /infty} (1 - 1 / n)^n = 1 / e you need enough samples that are longer than 1/p since about 37% of values in an unbiased sample are larger than that.

Bug John · Dec 29, 2008, 05:10 PM // 17:10

Quote:

Originally Posted by tmakinen

For a positive contribution, if you insist on using the run-length data, I would like to point out that the distribution is of the form (1 - p)^n and that you should use the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test to gauge the merit of a given p. Also as mentioned before, because lim_{n -> /infty} (1 - 1 / n)^n = 1 / e you need enough samples that are longer than 1/p since about 37% of values in an unbiased sample are larger than that.

why bother defining a distribution function ? all they want is a raw estimation of the droprate

Namiren · Dec 29, 2008, 05:52 PM // 17:52

130+ runs stil no polar ... i want my obsidian armor!!!

Sir Skullcrasher · Dec 29, 2008, 07:36 PM // 19:36

Makes you wonder if A-Net will give us something similar to the mini polar bear on our 4th years birthday presents? We already got the black beast of Aaarrrggghhhh when they gave out the mini grease lightning as tournament prize.

Sir Skullcrasher · Dec 29, 2008, 07:50 PM // 19:50

Good news about these runs is that I'm average about 10 CCS per runs. If I do like 20 runs a day... that will net me around 200+ shards almost to a full stack. Hopefully those are selling well per stacks.

Rexion · Dec 29, 2008, 08:13 PM // 20:13

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sir Skullcrasher

Good news about these runs is that I'm average about 10 CCS per runs. If I do like 20 runs a day... that will net me around 200+ shards almost to a full stack. Hopefully those are selling well per stacks.

It was 25k a stack a few days ago, but now it's down to 20k a stack.

Šiljo · Dec 29, 2008, 08:32 PM // 20:32

6 stacks of presents and atleast 500+ runs and still nothing

lobo fett · Dec 29, 2008, 09:43 PM // 21:43

As posted earlier I got a mini, after about 25 runs, I was ccs farming. thinking a pb would be nice, but thats not why i was doing it.

I just want to add my thoughts

I did around 20 strength runs in la, then got bored and went to kamadan did about 3 strength, and decided to give straight a shot, thought it was great the return on ccs, but took a little more time and waiting for life regen. So back to strength for next one and got the pb.

One thing though i would like to add, is i was killing everything, to get more shards. I wasnt running through.

well now my goal has changed, im trying to get a stack of each christmas item without cashing in ccs. but im running through now to the final door where chest spawns. 10 stacks of ccs, and havent reached 250 on even fruitcake yet, and getting no polar bear either. another annoyance is yuletide tonic barely drops at all either, think i have got 2 in all the runs.

My thoughts are the game might just know what yr up to if yr running through, which is my guess for most of the grinders.

Would i want another pb??? no way, see i told a cpl ppl, and the msg got to more and more people, now i get begged for gold at least 5 times a day. I pretend to be offline. I know this will go away soon, and cant wait!!!

Day Trooper · Dec 29, 2008, 10:02 PM // 22:02

300+ runs here and - yooooouuuu guessed it!!

NO BEAR

Anyways, just thought I'd inject a little 'bad humor' to uplift the spirits of those still trying to get the little fella

'Just grin and bear it folks.'

'This quest is frickin' unbearable.'

'I recently heard Polar Bears were put on the endangered species list. If the drop rate of MPBs in GW is any indication - they're already extinct

'

And finally....

Conversation recently heard in LA:

Q: "Hey - how's that SoS quest going?"

A: "Still SoL!!!"

-DT

KZaske · Dec 29, 2008, 10:04 PM // 22:04

9 stacks of ccs, 2 stacks of spiked eggnogs... 345 runs - no pb.

Sparda · Dec 29, 2008, 10:09 PM // 22:09

Coming around 570 till 580 runs.
Been busy for 72 hours since it started.
No MPB
I'm a big fool that i even go on and tried.

Sir Skullcrasher · Dec 29, 2008, 10:43 PM // 22:43

Anyone had any luck within their first 50 runs to get a MPB?